Former President Donald Trump has repeatedly hinted at a presidential comeback, teasing that he may run for president again in 2024.
In a recent rally in Iowa, where Trump was reportedly favored by over 90% of the residents, he said “We’re going to take America back.
His approval ratings in Iowa are higher now than when he was in the White House.
Fifty-three percent of Iowans said they view Trump favorably, compared to his 48 percent rating when he was in the White House, according to a recent Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll. Meanwhile, incumbent president Biden has a 37 percent favorable rating in the poll and a 61 percent unfavorable rating.
A potential political comeback for Trump cannot be ruled out at this point and Democrats facing difficult midterm elections in 2022 may be concerned at both Trump’s influence over the Republican Party and his chances in 2024.
Biden has seen a difficult start to his presidency. Now approaching his ninth month in office, the president’s approval rating has declined significantly since taking office on January 20.
The president’s approval rating has been on a downward trajectory since August 30—the day before the final deadline for the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan.
Since then, Biden’s agenda has stalled in Congress, and divisions within the Democratic Party have held up the passage of a $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill and fierce debate continues about a separate $3.5 trillion social spending bill, called the Build Back Better Act.
“A successful Trump comeback is hardly a given—but there’s no doubt it’s a genuine possibility,” Thomas Gift, founding director of University College London’s Centre on U.S. Politics said.
“On the Republican side, one could make the case that hardline MAGA supporters have grown even more resolute about putting their man back in the office since last year. For some elements of the base, January 6, a never-ending vortex of conspiracy theories, and continued claims of election rigging have only amped up the rage many felt when Biden was inaugurated.
“On the Democratic side, a current administration that seems increasingly rudderless on both domestic and foreign policy can only help Trump’s chances of staging a comeback,” Gift added.
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Mark Shanahan, an associate professor at the Department of Politics and International Relations at Reading University and co-editor of The Trump Presidency: From Campaign Trail to World Stage, said that Donald Trump loves media attention and the current administration’s problems have caused the former president more airtime on media.
“Donald Trump always wants to be the center of attention and Joe Biden’s current problems in trying to hold his party together over the infrastructure bill, the Build Back Better Act and managing the debt ceiling have given him the opportunity to garner the column inches and broadcast mentions again,” Shanahan said.
“The former president operates continually in campaign mode and loves nothing more than getting the attention of his base as he continues to tour those parts of the country still willing to enable his election-steal narrative.
“If one was to make a logic-based case for a Trump run in 2024, the chances would be that 45 would be far more likely to be in a courtroom than a presidential debate in the run-up to November ’24,” Shanahan went on.
“Trump doesn’t operate on logic,” He adds. “He sees the world only through a lens of how events can benefit him personally, and he’ll currently be seeing Trump ahead of Biden in the polls for the next presidential election.”
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